Monte Carlo over the full season — every game simulated, playoff bracket
played, bowls assigned. Captains only count for weeks already set, since nobody
can captain a future week.
The preseason column is frozen — taken before a snap was played and never
recomputed. The projection beside it refreshes as results land: games already played are
counted as they happened, only the rest is simulated.
#
Team
Preseason
Move
From captain
Projected
1
PickemSports
1
—
9
573.6
2
Murphy
2
—
9
555
3
Tom
3
—
9
530.9
4
Buckeyes
4
—
1
514.8
5
Cover Zero
5
—
1
488.4
6
Turf Toe
6
—
0.7
485.8
7
Kevin
7
—
8.6
484.9
8
Matt
8
—
8.6
475.7
9
Wes
9
—
1.3
468
10
Marcus
10
—
11.8
467.8
11
Squibly
11
—
1
461.2
12
Brian
12
—
-0.2
460.4
13
Jeff
13
—
1.6
456.2
14
Scott
14
—
6.6
439.5
15
Chunk Play
15
—
-0.2
436.4
16
Flea Flick
16
—
1.9
435.3
17
Bye Week
17
—
1
434.4
18
Chris
18
—
5
431.9
19
Muffed
19
—
4.4
428.7
20
Dave
20
—
1
427.5
21
Pick Six
21
—
1
416.2
22
Devin
22
—
1.7
411.4
23
Onside
23
—
0.7
408.5
24
Punt Life
24
—
0.5
387.5
25
ToiletBowl
25
—
5
344.2
The consensus roster
The most-taken team in every tier, and how much of
it each entry ended up with.
1
9 · 36%
2
8 · 32%
3
8 · 32%
4
9 · 36%
5
5 · 20%
6
4 · 16%
7
2 · 8%
8
3 · 12%
9
3 · 12%
10
3 · 12%
Picks by tier
Every team taken, most-picked first. Bars run to the
share of rosters holding that team, so the same width means the same popularity in any tier.
1 Tier 1 1 point per win
· 3 of 3 teams taken
9 · 36%
8 · 32%
8 · 32%
2 Tier 2 2 points per win
· 4 of 4 teams taken
8 · 32%
8 · 32%
5 · 20%
4 · 16%
3 Tier 3 3 points per win
· 4 of 4 teams taken
8 · 32%
8 · 32%
6 · 24%
3 · 12%
4 Tier 4 4 points per win
· 4 of 4 teams taken
9 · 36%
7 · 28%
5 · 20%
4 · 16%
5 Tier 5 5 points per win
· 11 of 15 teams taken
5 · 20%
4 · 16%
3 · 12%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
6 Tier 6 6 points per win
· 15 of 20 teams taken
4 · 16%
3 · 12%
3 · 12%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
7 Tier 7 7 points per win
· 17 of 20 teams taken
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
8 Tier 8 8 points per win
· 13 of 21 teams taken
3 · 12%
3 · 12%
3 · 12%
3 · 12%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
9 Tier 9 9 points per win
· 14 of 21 teams taken
3 · 12%
3 · 12%
3 · 12%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
2 · 8%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
1 · 4%
10 Tier 10 10 points per win
· 15 of 26 teams taken